ALGT ● Sun Country Acquisition — DOJ Cleared Mar 16
ULCC (Frontier) Fleet rightsizing to 176 aircraft — $200M savings target
Spirit Chapter 11 — Fleet cut to 76–80 aircraft — Summer 2026 emergence
Avelo East Coast pivot complete — 5th base (McKinney) in planning
Breeze 300+ nonstop routes — 5th international destination added
Issue 002 ● Live Now
ALGT ● Sun Country Acquisition — DOJ Cleared Mar 16
ULCC (Frontier) Fleet rightsizing to 176 aircraft — $200M savings target
Spirit Chapter 11 — Fleet cut to 76–80 aircraft — Summer 2026 emergence
Avelo East Coast pivot complete — 5th base (McKinney) in planning
Breeze 300+ nonstop routes — 5th international destination added
Issue 002 ● Live Now
Bi-Weekly Intelligence Brief

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The only bi-weekly brief on ULCC and hybrid carrier economics written by people who worked inside them. Built for vendors, operators, and strategists who need the read before the deal gets made.

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Written by former airline operators and aviation financial analysts — not journalists.

6 Carriers Covered
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$5B+ Combined Carrier Revenue Tracked
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Most airline analysis is written for investors. Terminal Intelligence is written for the vendors, operators, and strategists who need to know what's happening inside these carriers before the deal gets made.

"Market intelligence that helps travel technology companies sell to and build for low-cost carriers — the fastest-growing and least-understood segment in commercial aviation."

There's a gap nobody has filled at this price point: analysis that is more operationally grounded than journalism, more rigorous than trade press, and specifically framed for the vendors and operators who sell to and serve low-cost carriers.


Every issue draws on DOT data, SEC filings, earnings transcripts, route announcements, and operational signals — interpreted by analysts who have worked inside carriers, not just covered them from the outside.

ULCC Financial Health Snapshot

Carrier-by-carrier status across all active ULCC and hybrid carriers — load factors, CASM/RASM movement, key metrics, and a vendor signal rating every issue.

Deep Dive

One focused analytical piece per issue. Always ends with a concrete "So What for Vendors" takeaway your sales or product team can use immediately.

Monthly Sales Intel Brief

Prioritized outreach targets for vendor sales teams. Ranked by financial trajectory, procurement signals, management stability, and technology investment appetite.

Written for operators,
not observers.

If you sell to airlines, build for airlines, or need to understand where ULCC and hybrid carriers are heading before your competitors do, this brief is for you.

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Travel Technology Vendors

Know which carriers are actively buying, which are frozen in restructuring, and which have greenfield procurement windows right now — not six months from now.

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VP Sales & Business Development

Each issue gives you a prioritized action list with specific pitch angles per carrier. Stop cold-calling blind. Walk into meetings with the context that matters.

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Product & Strategy Teams

Understand the technology decisions happening inside ULCC carriers — PSS evaluations, NDC adoption, ancillary stack investment — before they show up in competitor wins.

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Investors & Analysts

Get the operational read behind the earnings call. When Frontier says "bundling pivot," we explain exactly what that means for the technology vendor stack and unit economics.

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M&A & Integration Advisors

The Allegiant–Sun Country integration will generate tens of millions in vendor decisions over 24 months. Know the vendor landscape before the integration team builds their map.

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Airport & Ground Ops

ULCC network shifts, new hub decisions, and fleet transitions create procurement cycles for ground ops technology. We cover those signals before they hit the trade press.

Why It's Different

Three unfair advantages
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No journalist has all three. No institutional analyst publishes at this price point. And no one else has the operator background to write it this way.

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Insider Operational Knowledge

Authored by former airline operators and aviation financial analysts — not journalists or generalist reporters. We have lived these decisions from the inside, and every issue is written to that standard.

02

Financial Modeling Depth

CASM, RASM, ancillary per passenger, EPS vs. consensus — every carrier profile is built on the actual numbers, not management talking points.

03

Vendor-First Framing

Every piece of analysis answers one question: what does this mean for the companies selling to these carriers? That frame doesn't exist anywhere else at this price.

What's been published.

Two issues live. Each one covers the full ULCC peer group with a deep analytical piece and a prioritized sales intel brief.

Issue 001 March 17, 2026
The First ULCC Mega-Merger & What It Means for Every Vendor Selling Into This Space

The DOJ cleared Allegiant's $1.5B acquisition of Sun Country the day this issue dropped. Spirit filed its second Chapter 11. Avelo abandoned the West Coast. The ULCC competitive map is being redrawn — here's what it means for vendor pipelines.

Full carrier-by-carrier health dashboard — Frontier, Allegiant, Spirit, Avelo, Breeze, and Sun Country — with vendor signal ratings.
Allegiant + Sun Country: the three vendor scenarios after close — expansion, displacement, and greenfield — and exactly what to do before Q2.
Top 3 action items: Frontier's First Class vendor window, writing the Allegiant integration proposal before anyone asks, and Avelo greenfield positioning.
Frontier ● HIGH Allegiant ● HIGH Avelo ● HIGH Breeze ● MED-HIGH Spirit ● DEPRIORITIZE
Issue 002 March 22, 2026
90 Days to Get Into the Allegiant Integration. The Clock Is Running.

DOJ clearance converts a theoretical M&A timeline into an operational reality. Integration planning is live. System consolidation decisions are in motion. Meanwhile Frontier targets $200M in savings and Breeze crosses 300 routes on modern NDC-first infrastructure.

Updated carrier dashboard with Q4 2025 results, revised 2026 guidance, and Frontier's fleet rightsizing — 24 A320neos returned, 69 deliveries deferred.
What vendor teams need to do in the next 90 days: the system consolidation decision tree, the charter segment opportunity, and action items by vendor category.
Get into Allegiant's integration by April 15. Build the Frontier cost-savings ROI story. Open a Breeze conversation at leadership level — before the routes lock out vendors.
Allegiant ● HIGH Frontier ● MED-HIGH Breeze ● MED-HIGH Avelo ● MEDIUM Spirit ● DEPRIORITIZE

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